Prepared by Florida Climate Center
Florida State University
Tallahassee, FL

Summary:

• Monthly mean temperatures in June were near to above normal in Florida.
• Monthly precipitation totals in June were mixed, with parts of the Panhandle and eastern Florida receiving above normal rainfall, while most of the Peninsula received below normal rainfall.
• Drought persisted but improved in the Panhandle and areas of exceptional drought were removed. By the end of the month, about 18% of the state was in extreme drought (D3), 41% was in severe drought (D2), 21% was in moderate drought (D1), and 13% was abnormally dry (D0), according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.
• El Niño conditions developed in the tropical equatorial Pacific Ocean and rapidly strengthened over the past few weeks. Chances for a very strong event are currently at 81% during October-December.

Table 1. June average temperatures and departures from normal ( ̊F) for select cities.

Figure 1. Monthly average temperature departures from normal (°F) in Florida for June 2026.

Table 2. June precipitation totals and departures from normal (inches) for selected cities.

Figure 2. A graphical depiction of the monthly rainfall departure from normal (inches) for June 2026 (courtesy of NOAA, NWS).

El Niño Conditions are Present in the Pacific Ocean.

In June, El Niño conditions developed in the tropical equatorial Pacific Ocean. Over the past month, El Niño strengthened as a large area of sea surface temperature anomalies in excess of +1.0°C emerged across the central and eastern Niño index regions. The latest weekly westernmost (Niño-4) and easternmost (Niño-1+2) indices were at +0.5°C and +2.7°C, respectively. Low-level westerly wind anomalies and upper-level easterly wind anomalies were observed over the equatorial Pacific, providing reinforcing factors for a strengthening event. There is very high confidence (98% chance) that El Niño will persist through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2026-27. There is currently an 81% chance of a very strong El Niño during October-December. It is likely to rank among the strongest El Niño events in the historical record dating back to 1950.

Hazardous Weather Events in June.

According to the Local Storm Reports issued by the local National Weather Service offices serving Florida, there were 414 individual local reports of hazardous weather events recorded across the state during the month of June (see Table 3 for a breakdown by event type). Thunderstorm activity during the month led to high wind gusts, heavy downpours, and some reports of hail. On the 20th, a strong wind gust associated with a thunderstorm caused a gazebo to collapse in Hollywood in Broward County, resulting in five injuries. On the 26th, a man was injured from a lightning strike in Miami-Dade County.

Table 3. Breakdown of storm reports submitted in Florida during the month of June (compiled from Iowa State University/Iowa Environmental Mesonet).

Daily Record Events in June.

Table 4. Summary of daily records broken, or set, in Florida in June 2026 (source: NCEI Daily Weather Records).

Drought-Related Impacts.

During June, drought continued to improve in some areas of the state but drought lingers in most places. By mid-June, approximately 4% of the state was in exceptional drought (D4), 20% in extreme drought (D3), 39% in severe drought (D2), and 29% was in moderate drought (D1), with about 8% abnormally dry (D0), according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. By the end of the month, no portion of the state was in exceptional drought (D4); approximately 18% of the state was in extreme drought (D3), 41% was in severe drought (D2), and 21% was in moderate drought (D1), with 13% of the state abnormally dry (D0) (Figure 3 below).

As of June 30, the Lake Okeechobee water level was 10.93 ft. above sea level (Feet-NGVD29), which is below average for this time of year and below the water shortage management level. At the first of June, the water level was 10.83 ft. above sea level.

Figure 3. A graphical depiction of the latest drought conditions in Florida according to the U.S. Drought Monitor (courtesy of the National Drought Mitigation Center, University of Nebraska-Lincoln).

Agriculture-Related Impacts.

Appendix 1
Additional June departures from normal data for select Florida locations (source: NWS).

Appendix 2
Select daily record high maximum temperatures tied or broken during June (compiled from NOAA).

Prepared by Florida Climate Center
The Florida State University
Tallahassee, FL

Key Points:

• A warm and wet pattern emerged for much of the state in March, with above normal rainfall for the northern half of the state, alleviating drought in some locations, but the south continued to have below normal rainfall.
• An active storm pattern returned across the south and southeast U.S., which included a wildfire outbreak early in the month in the Florida Panhandle and a severe weather outbreak late in the month.
• During the first week of March, moderate drought (D1) impacted much of Florida, including the Panhandle and western Peninsula, with severe drought (D2) emerging in Dixie and Levy counties. By the end of March, drought had improved across the Panhandle and Big Bend regions as rainfall returned, but much of south Florida continues to experience moderate drought or abnormally dry conditions.
• A La Niña advisory is expected the continue through summer, but its influence may begin to wane, as the precipitation outlook through the summer calls for equal chances below, above, or near normal in Florida

Average temperatures in March were above normal across the state. Average temperature departures from normal ranged from +1.9 ̊F in Tallahassee to +5.5 ̊F in Fort Myers for the month (see Table 1 and Appendix 1 for select cities). Several stations recorded one of their top five warmest months of March on record. Fort Myers recorded its warmest March on record, while Orlando, Tampa, and Jacksonville Beach had their 3rd-warmest March on record. Several daily high maximum and high minimum temperature records were tied or broken throughout the month (see appendix 2 for daily high maximum temperature records).

Table 1.  March average temperatures and departures from normal ( ̊F) for selected cities.

Rainfall totals in March were above normal for most places in the northern half of the state and below normal in the south. The monthly precipitation departures from normal ranged from -0.97 inches in Key West to +9.1 inches in Gainesville (Table 2 and Appendix 1). Most southerly locations in the state recorded a precipitation deficit for the month, but some places especially in north-central Florida saw a surplus of rainfall (Figure 1). Gainesville and Cross City recorded their wettest March on record, while Fort Lauderdale had its 7th-driest March on record. As a result of continued dryness, moderate drought and abnormally dry conditions continue to impact much of the southern Peninsula (see below).

Table 2. March precipitation totals and departures from normal (inches) for selected cities.

Figure 1. A graphical depiction of the monthly rainfall departure from normal (inches) for March (courtesy of NOAA, NWS).

La Niña Advisory Continues.

La Niña, the cool phase of the ENSO climate pattern, is favored to continue into the Northern Hemisphere summer (53% chance during June-August), with a 40-50% chance of La Niña or ENSO-neutral thereafter. After weakening in January, below-average sea surface temperatures strengthened during February 2022 across the central and east-central tropical Pacific as the weekly Niño-3.4 index decreased from -0.6 ̊ C in early February to -1.1 ̊ C in the last week of February.

Hazardous Weather Events in March.

According to the Local Storm Reports issued by the local National Weather Service offices serving Florida, there were 483 individual local reports of hazardous weather events recorded across the state during the month of March 2022 (see Table 4 for a breakdown by event type). Early in the month, wildfires broke out across the Panhandle as below-normal rainfall and warm weather led to the development of abnormally dry and moderate drought conditions. Another factor contributing to this wildfire outbreak was the unusual amount of fuel on the ground as a result of Hurricane Michael nearly four years ago, which decimated forests on private land in this area. Wildfires threatened several communities and led to the evacuation of a community and nursing home in Bay County. On the 31st, a tornado in Washington County, Florida resulted in two fatalities and two injuries, part of a severe weather outbreak across 7 states that generated at least 30 tornadoes in total.

Table 4. Breakdown of storm reports submitted in Florida during the month of March (compiled from Iowa State University/Iowa Environmental Mesonet).

Drought-Related Impacts.

During the first week of March, much of Florida was experiencing drought. About 2% of the state was in severe drought (D2), 50% of the state was in moderate drought (D1), and 36% was experiencing abnormally dry conditions, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. Conditions improved in northern Florida throughout the month as a wet pattern emerged. By the end of the month, no areas were in severe drought (D2), 23% of the state (southwestern Florida) was in moderate drought (D1), and 32% was abnormally dry.

As of March 31, the Lake Okeechobee water level was 13.78 ft. above sea level (Feet-NGVD29), which is below average for this time of the year. The water level fell below average early in the month and continued to decline. At the first of the month, the water level was around 14.52 ft. above sea level.

Agriculture-Related Impacts.

While temperatures were above normal for the month of March, a mid-month frost led to some damage to crops including to berries, watermelon, and planted corn in the northern part of the state. Pasture conditions were poor to good throughout the state due to late cool weather and frost. Cattle remained in mostly good condition due to supplemental hay feeding. Sugarcane harvest was close to completion in the southern part of the Peninsula. Strawberry harvest continued and should conclude soon. Several vegetable crops were marketed including tomatoes, peppers, eggplant, sweet corn, green beans, yellow squash, zucchini, herbs, and avocadoes. Citrus fruit harvested included white and red grapefruit, oranges, tangerines, and tangelos. For more information, consult the Crop Progress - State Stories reports, which is produced monthly December through March.

Appendix 1
Additional March departures from normal data for select Florida locations (Source: NWS).

Appendix 2
Select daily record high maximum temperatures broken or tied during March (compiled from NOAA).

Prepared by Florida Climate Center
Florida State University
Tallahassee, FL

Summary:

• Monthly mean temperatures in April were above normal in Florida.
• Monthly precipitation totals in April were below normal across northern Florida, while parts of the central and southern Peninsula received above normal rainfall.
• Widespread drought persisted during the month, with some degradation in the Panhandle and north-central regions and improvements in southeastern Florida; by the end of the month, nearly 25% of the state was in exceptional drought (D4) and another 57% was in extreme drought (D3).
• ENSO-neutral conditions currently exist in the tropical equatorial Pacific Ocean with a transition to El Niño favored during May-July 2026 (61% chance).

Table 1. April average temperatures and departures from normal ( ̊F) for select cities.

Figure 1. Monthly average temperature departures from normal (°F) in Florida for April 2026.

Table 2. April precipitation totals and departures from normal (inches) for selected cities.

Figure 2. A graphical depiction of the monthly rainfall departure from normal (inches) for April 2026 (courtesy of NOAA, NWS).

ENSO-Neutral Conditions / El Niño Watch.

Over the past month, the state of the tropical equatorial Pacific Ocean transitioned from a La Niña to ENSO-neutral conditions. Near-average sea surface temperatures emerged in the central and east-central equatorial Pacific Ocean, while equatorial sub-surface temperatures increased for the fifth consecutive month. ENSO-neutral conditions are favored to persist through May-June 2026 (80% chance). A transition to El Niño is likely thereafter (61% chance during May-July 2026 and near 80% during June-August 2026) due to increasing subsurface temperature anomalies and westerly wind anomalies over the western Pacific Ocean. The possible outcomes range from ENSO-neutral to a very strong El Niño event (SSTs in the Niño-3.4 region ≥ +2.0°C) during the Northern Hemisphere 2026-2027 winter.

Hazardous Weather Events in April.

According to the Local Storm Reports issued by the local National Weather Service offices serving Florida, there were 110 individual local reports of hazardous weather events recorded across the state during the month of April (see Table 3 for a breakdown by event type). Several incidents related to rip currents were reported during the month, including at least 6 injuries and 4 fatalities. Thunderstorms caused some damage and brief street flooding in portions of the state. On the 7th, a severe thunderstorm with straight line winds damaged two homes in Hialeah, and one brief tornado, rated EF0, was reported in the Palm Springs North community in Miami-Dade County on the same day. Several wildfires were reported throughout the month with ongoing extreme to exceptional drought conditions in much of the state. Among the largest wildfires reported included the Newman Dr. Fire in Collier County, the Railroad Complex Fire in Clay and Putnam Counties, the MM-45 wildfire in Broward County, and the Hwy 41 wildfire in the Everglades in Miami-Dade County. Several fires led to evacuations of nearby residential areas.  

Table 3. Breakdown of storm reports submitted in Florida during the month of April (compiled from Iowa State University/Iowa Environmental Mesonet).

Daily Record Events in April.

Table 4. Summary of daily records broken or set in Florida in April 2026 (source: NCEI Daily Weather Records).

Drought-Related Impacts.

Drought conditions persisted during April, with some degradation in northern parts of the state and improvements in southeastern areas that received beneficial rainfall. By mid-month, approximately 20% of the state was in exceptional drought (D4), 51% of the state in extreme drought (D3), 22% in severe drought (D2), and 6% was in moderate drought (D1), with 1% of the state abnormally dry (D0), according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. By the end of the month, approximately 25% of the state was in exceptional drought (D4), 54% was in extreme drought (D3), 14% was in severe drought (D2), and 6% was in moderate drought (D1), with 1.3% abnormally dry (D0) (Figure 2 below).

As of April 30, the Lake Okeechobee water level was 11.67 ft. above sea level (Feet-NGVD29), which is below average for this time of year. At the first of April, the water level was 12.01 ft. above sea level.

Figure 3. A graphical depiction of the latest drought conditions in Florida according to the U.S. Drought Monitor (courtesy of the National Drought Mitigation Center, University of Nebraska-Lincoln).

Agriculture-Related Impacts.

Appendix 1
Additional April departures from normal data for select Florida locations (source: NWS).

Appendix 2
Select daily record high maximum temperatures tied or broken during April (compiled from NOAA).

Prepared by Florida Climate Center
The Florida State University
Tallahassee, FL

November Key Points:

• Temperatures were below normal across the state for the month.
• Precipitation in the Florida Panhandle was below normal in November, the first time in 7 months for some places in the region, while precipitation in the rest of the state was above normal.
• Abnormally dry conditions emerged in the northern Panhandle region toward the end of the month.
• The 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season officially ended as the third most active year on record.
• The December outlook favors above normal temperatures and continued dryness with below normal precipitation.

Average temperatures in November were below normal across the state. Average temperature departures ranged from -4.3 ̊F in Jacksonville to -0.4 ̊F in Orlando for the month (see Table 1 and Appendix 1 for select cities). Much of the state experienced cooler-than-normal temperatures during the month and especially during the first half of the month. Only one daily high maximum temperature record was set, and no daily high minimum temperature records were set during the month; however, there were several daily low maximum temperature records set, particularly early in the month.

Table 1.  November average temperatures and departures from normal ( ̊F) for selected cities.

Rainfall totals in November were below normal in the Panhandle and above normal across the Peninsula (Figure 1). Monthly departures from normal ranged from -4.11 inches in Pensacola to +2.41 inches in Orlando (Table 2 and Appendix 1). Much of the Panhandle was drier than normal, and the western Panhandle broke its wet streak with above normal precipitation for the past several months. Pensacola has had wetter than normal conditions since April, but it experienced its fourth driest November on record. Pensacola maintains a surplus in annual rainfall due to excessive rainfall in prior months with an annual total of 86.65 inches so far, which is just shy of 24 inches above normal to date. Venice and Hollywood had their second wettest Novembers on record.

Table 2. November precipitation totals and departures from normal (inches) for selected cities.

Figure 1. A graphical depiction of the monthly rainfall departure from normal (inches) for November (courtesy of NOAA, NWS).

La Niña Advisory.

La Niña conditions, the cool phase of the ENSO climate pattern, returned to the tropical Pacific Ocean in October. Below-average subsurface temperatures (averaged from 180-100°W) strengthened significantly over the past month, as negative anomalies were observed at depth across most of the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. There is now a 90% chance of La Niña conditions continuing in the Northern Hemisphere winter, and it is likely to continue into spring 2022 (~50% during March-May). At its peak, a moderate-strength La Niña is favored. ENSO-neutral conditions could potentially return during April-June 2022.

Hazardous Weather Events in November.

According to the Local Storm Reports issued by the local National Weather Service offices serving Florida, there were 209 individual local reports of hazardous weather events recorded across the state during the month of November (see Table 4 for a breakdown by event type). Heavy rain affected several parts of the state on the 5th and 6th, including Volusia and Collier Counties which experienced over 7 and 9 inches of rainfall, respectively. Further, high water levels caused coastal flooding in several places across the state on the 7th. The Mayport tide gauge in Duval County reached its 6th highest water level on record at 2.51 feet above MHHW, and the Fernandina Beach tide gauge reached its 7th highest water level on record, reaching 2.93 feet above MHHW. These are the highest water levels ever to occur with a non-tropical weather system. Heavy rainfall again affected parts of the state later in the month. On the 21st, 10-11 inches of rain fell in parts of St. Lucie County near River Park.

Table 4. Breakdown of storm reports submitted in Florida during the month of November (compiled from Iowa State University/Iowa Environmental Mesonet).

Drought-Related Impacts.

Much of November remained drought free across the state. Northeast Florida experienced abnormally dry conditions (D0) in early November but was drought free by mid-month. By November 30, abnormally dry conditions emerged in northern sections of the Panhandle, with 5.2% of the state experiencing abnormally dry conditions according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.

As of November 30, the Lake Okeechobee water level was at 15.94 ft. above sea level (Feet-NGVD29), which is above the average for this time of the year. The water level remained above average throughout the month. At the first of the month, the water level was 15.85 ft. above sea level.

Agriculture-Related Impacts.

During mid-November, topsoil moisture levels were adequate for 72% of the state, short in 10%, and very short in 1% of the state; 17% of the state was in surplus. By the end of November, topsoil moisture levels were adequate in 65% of the state, short in 24%, and very short in 2%; 9% of the state was in surplus. For more information, consult the weekly Crop Progress and Conditions report published by the USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service.

Appendix 1
Additional November departures from normal data for select Florida locations (Source: NWS).